Oct. 12th, 2007
Новый Проханов родился
Oct. 12th, 2007 06:19 amI came out of the meeting realizing that only military people deal with randomness with genuine, introspective intellectual honesty—unlike academics and corporate executives using other people's money. This does not show in war movies, where they are usually portrayed as war-hungry autocrats. The people in front of me were not the people who initiate wars. Indeed, for many, the successful defense policy is the one that manages to eliminate potential dangers without war, such as the strategy of bankrupting the Russians through the escalation in defense spending. When I expressed my amazement to Laurence, another finance person who was sitting next to me, he told me that the military collected more genuine intellects and risk thinkers than most if not all other professions. Defense people wanted to understand the epistemology of risk. [...] Each of the participants gave his presentation and listened to those of the others. I came to discuss Black Swans, and I intended to tell them that the only thing I know is that we know precious little about [Black Swans], but that it was their property to sneak up on us, and that attempts at Platonifying them led to additional misunderstandings. Military people can understand such things, and the idea became recently prevalent in military circles with the expression unknown unknown (as opposed to the known unknown) --Nassim Nicholas Taleb, The Black Swan.Ну надо же. Математик. Пробабилист. Квант. Ливанец. И вот такое писать... Такое писать... Как не стыдно... Какой позор...
Новый Проханов родился
Oct. 12th, 2007 06:19 amI came out of the meeting realizing that only military people deal with randomness with genuine, introspective intellectual honesty—unlike academics and corporate executives using other people's money. This does not show in war movies, where they are usually portrayed as war-hungry autocrats. The people in front of me were not the people who initiate wars. Indeed, for many, the successful defense policy is the one that manages to eliminate potential dangers without war, such as the strategy of bankrupting the Russians through the escalation in defense spending. When I expressed my amazement to Laurence, another finance person who was sitting next to me, he told me that the military collected more genuine intellects and risk thinkers than most if not all other professions. Defense people wanted to understand the epistemology of risk. [...] Each of the participants gave his presentation and listened to those of the others. I came to discuss Black Swans, and I intended to tell them that the only thing I know is that we know precious little about [Black Swans], but that it was their property to sneak up on us, and that attempts at Platonifying them led to additional misunderstandings. Military people can understand such things, and the idea became recently prevalent in military circles with the expression unknown unknown (as opposed to the known unknown) --Nassim Nicholas Taleb, The Black Swan.Ну надо же. Математик. Пробабилист. Квант. Ливанец. И вот такое писать... Такое писать... Как не стыдно... Какой позор...
2, 3, 4, 5
Oct. 12th, 2007 07:48 amЕсли бы я вдруг повредился рассудком и захотел улучшать школы, что бы я в первую очередь сделал? Я бы расширил шкалу оценок. Что такое два - пять? Это значит, даже если я в точности угадаю ответ, я окажусь всего лишь в два с половиной раза удачливее самого безнадежного неудачника? Такого джинни индекса не было даже у красных кхмеров. Давайте сделаем оценки от двух до пятидесяти миллиардов. Вот тогда-то и посмотрим, кто лучше всех раскладывает многочлены на множители. Вот это будет готовить к взрослой жизни.
2, 3, 4, 5
Oct. 12th, 2007 07:48 amЕсли бы я вдруг повредился рассудком и захотел улучшать школы, что бы я в первую очередь сделал? Я бы расширил шкалу оценок. Что такое два - пять? Это значит, даже если я в точности угадаю ответ, я окажусь всего лишь в два с половиной раза удачливее самого безнадежного неудачника? Такого джинни индекса не было даже у красных кхмеров. Давайте сделаем оценки от двух до пятидесяти миллиардов. Вот тогда-то и посмотрим, кто лучше всех раскладывает многочлены на множители. Вот это будет готовить к взрослой жизни.
MSNBC -- Officials said the postings were on a private MySpace forum set up for the school, but the teen's postings were of his own creation and not sanctioned by the school.
The postings did not identify anyone in particular as targets, and a search of the student and his home did not uncover any weapons. He now faces charges of disorderly conduct.
Police said the student has allegedly been the victim of bullying at the school, including an incident reported in August and two previous incidents in 2003 and 2004 in which the teen had been beaten up.
The postings did not identify anyone in particular as targets, and a search of the student and his home did not uncover any weapons. He now faces charges of disorderly conduct.
Police said the student has allegedly been the victim of bullying at the school, including an incident reported in August and two previous incidents in 2003 and 2004 in which the teen had been beaten up.
MSNBC -- Officials said the postings were on a private MySpace forum set up for the school, but the teen's postings were of his own creation and not sanctioned by the school.
The postings did not identify anyone in particular as targets, and a search of the student and his home did not uncover any weapons. He now faces charges of disorderly conduct.
Police said the student has allegedly been the victim of bullying at the school, including an incident reported in August and two previous incidents in 2003 and 2004 in which the teen had been beaten up.
The postings did not identify anyone in particular as targets, and a search of the student and his home did not uncover any weapons. He now faces charges of disorderly conduct.
Police said the student has allegedly been the victim of bullying at the school, including an incident reported in August and two previous incidents in 2003 and 2004 in which the teen had been beaten up.











